THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. DISCUSSION... FAIRLY DRY...STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LATE TONIGHT...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER INSTABILITY NORTHWARD. LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ERICK...TO LAWTON...TO SULPHUR WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE SOUTH OKLAHOMA CITY METRO IN AND AROUND NEWCASTLE AND MOORE. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT MAY BECOME SEVERE...POSING A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS... DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 23. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY IN ATOKA COUNTY...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOMORROW MORNING MAY MAKE CONDITIONS WORSE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. WHILE NOT VERY LIKELY...THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE THAT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MOVE INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY DURING THIS TIME FRAME. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM THURSDAY.
